Business

Mortgage rates rise and deals pulled over Iran war turmoil

U.S. mortgage rates climbed to their highest levels since last August, as geopolitical tensions over Iran caused investors

Cutout paper composition with house in handful showing concept of buying private apartment against blue background

Image: GlobalBeat / 2026

U.S. mortgage rates climbed to their highest levels since last August, as geopolitical tensions over Iran caused investors to pull out of the housing market. The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate rose to 3.75% from 3.65% last week, according to Freddie Mac. The rate increase comes amid growing fears of a potential conflict between the U.S. and Iran following the killing of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani.

The recent spike in mortgage rates marks the biggest upheaval since the mini-Budget, which caused a brief flurry of activity in the housing market. The current rate increase is expected to impact both refinancing and home purchase activity, with potential buyers and homeowners likely to delay decisions in anticipation of further rate changes.

The escalation of tensions between the U.S. and Iran has led to increased market volatility, with investors pulling out of riskier assets such as stocks and mortgages. This has resulted in a higher demand for safer investments, such as government bonds, which in turn has pushed up yields and mortgage rates.

“The recent increase in mortgage rates is a direct result of the heightened tensions in the Middle East,” said a senior official at Freddie Mac. “Investors are seeking safer assets, which is driving up yields and mortgage rates.”

Analysts predict that if the situation between the U.S. and Iran continues to escalate, mortgage rates could rise even further. This would have a significant impact on the housing market, with potential buyers and homeowners likely to delay decisions until there is greater certainty about the geopolitical situation.

However, some analysts remain optimistic that the situation will be resolved, leading to a stabilization of mortgage rates. “While the current situation is undoubtedly causing short-term volatility, we believe that a resolution will be reached in the coming weeks,” said one analyst. “This should lead to a stabilization of mortgage rates, allowing the housing market to return to its previous trend.”

As the situation between the U.S. and Iran continues to unfold, the housing market will be closely monitoring mortgage rates and investor sentiment. The outcome of the conflict will play a significant role in determining the direction of mortgage rates and the overall health of the housing market in the coming months.